La escuela de los momios

Coco Gauff v Elina Svitolina

Inicio: 2026-05-16 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Predicción 70.06%1.43momio equitativo
EV +19.81%
Ventaja +11.58%
Kelly +27.89%
Crecimiento +5.52%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.93%68.76%70.16%75.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.211.431.371.7182.64%69.84%73.26%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Elina Svitolina (Visitante)

Predicción 29.94%3.34momio equitativo
EV +14.07%
Ventaja +3.69%
Kelly +5.01%
Crecimiento +0.704%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.25%31.24%29.84%44.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.172.883.003.8146.08%34.71%33.33%26.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV +19.81%E +11.58%K +27.89%G +5.52%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -35.03%E -16.14%K -29.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV +19.10%E +11.24%K +27.29%G +5.21%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -33.54%E -15.11%K -27.49%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:04
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV +17.70%E +10.54%K +26.03%G +4.61%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -32.64%E -14.51%K -26.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-16 14:59
ReBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV +17.00%E +10.18%K +25.38%G +4.31%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -33.54%E -15.11%K -27.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 14:59
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +17.00%E +10.18%K +25.38%G +4.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 15:45
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +16.30%E +9.82%K +24.70%G +4.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -30.54%E -13.17%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 15:55
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV +16.30%E +9.82%K +24.70%G +4.03%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -30.54%E -13.17%K -23.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 15:55
BetAnything1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV +15.60%E +9.46%K +24.00%G +3.74%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -33.24%E -14.90%K -27.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:10
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%EV +14.90%E +9.09%K +23.28%G +3.47%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%EV -27.55%E -11.38%K -19.40%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-16 15:55
SportsBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV +14.20%E +8.71%K +22.54%G +3.20%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:08
Bet Right1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV +14.20%E +8.71%K +22.54%G +3.20%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -32.64%E -14.51%K -26.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:04
GTbets1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 14:58
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -31.14%E -13.54%K -23.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-16 15:45
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +13.50%E +8.33%K +21.77%G +2.94%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV +12.10%E +7.56%K +20.16%G +2.44%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -34.14%E -15.52%K -28.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 14:59
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.96%EV +10.70%E +6.77%K +18.44%G +1.97%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.04%EV -32.04%E -14.11%K -25.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 15:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV +8.60%E +5.55%K +15.63%G +1.34%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -28.15%E -11.73%K -20.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 16:05
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV +8.60%E +5.55%K +15.63%G +1.34%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -29.64%E -12.61%K -21.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 16:00
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV +0.889%E +0.617%K +2.02%G +0.018%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 16:20
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -0.512%E -0.361%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -16.17%E -5.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -1.91%E -1.37%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.69%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 16:20
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.31%E -2.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.02%E -2.93%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.72%E -3.47%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 16:19
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.42%E -4.01%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Betway1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 16:20
theScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -2.70%E -0.831%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:20
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.82%E -5.13%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20
DraftKings1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV +4.19%E +1.20%K +1.69%G +0.071%4.5%2026-05-16 16:20
FanDuel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 16:20
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 68.72%EV -7.52%E -5.70%K -23.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -13.18%E -4.54%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 16:20
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.20%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Fliff1.30I 76.92%NM 70.79%EV -8.92%E -6.86%K -29.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV +4.78%E +1.37%K +1.91%G +0.092%6.1%2026-05-16 16:20
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.523%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-16 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -9.62%E -7.46%K -33.17%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -14.68%E -5.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.32%E -8.06%K -36.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.78%E +1.37%K +1.91%G +0.092%6.7%2026-05-16 16:20
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -11.02%E -8.68%K -40.82%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +14.07%E +3.69%K +5.01%G +0.704%5.0%2026-05-16 16:17
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -13.12%E -10.58%K -54.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +13.77%E +3.62%K +4.92%G +0.677%7.0%2026-05-16 16:20
Betclic (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 75.75%EV -15.23%E -12.58%K -72.50%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.25%EV +13.17%E +3.48%K +4.74%G +0.624%9.1%2026-05-16 16:18
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%0.2%2026-05-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%0.5%2026-05-16 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-05-16 16:20
Smarkets1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-05-16 16:20
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-05-16 16:20
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%6.9%2026-05-16 16:20