The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Beatrice Ricci v Tamara Korpatsch

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Beatrice Ricci (Local)

Prediction 14.52%6.89fair odd
EV +19.06%
Edge +2.32%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.505%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.64%14.42%14.72%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.606.156.008.2021.74%16.27%16.67%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visit)

Prediction 85.48%1.17fair odd
EV +0.012%
Edge +0.010%
Kelly +0.070%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%85.58%85.28%88.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.111.101.1792.59%89.69%90.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Beatrice Ricci (Local): 14.52%; Tamara Korpatsch (Visit): 85.48%. For Beatrice Ricci (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +19.06%E +2.32%K +2.65%G +0.505%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -7.68%E -7.11%K -96.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +19.06%E +2.32%K +2.65%G +0.505%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -7.68%E -7.11%K -96.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 14:10
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +1.64%E +0.234%K +0.273%G +0.004%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-04 15:40
Pinnacle🎯6.66I 15.02%NM 14.72%EV -3.30%E -0.495%K -0.583%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 85.28%EV -1.70%E -1.48%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-04 15:55
PlayUp🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -9.25%E -1.48%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.12%E -4.61%K -46.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-04 15:45
Everygame🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.88%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.97%E -5.43%K -59.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 15:40
Betsson🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.88%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.68%E -7.11%K -96.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 15:55
NordicBet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -12.88%E -2.15%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.68%E -7.11%K -96.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -20.14%E -3.66%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.26%E -3.81%K -35.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-04 15:54
Fliff🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -31.03%E -6.53%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -2.55%E -2.24%K -18.23%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -33.21%E -7.22%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV +0.012%E +0.010%K +0.070%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -33.21%E -7.22%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV +0.012%E +0.010%K +0.070%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-04 15:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%4.0%2026-05-04 15:55