The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ashlyn Krueger v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 08:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Prediction 47.76%2.09fair odd
EV +0.287%
Edge +0.137%
Kelly +0.261%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.47%47.65%49.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.971.952.1052.91%50.85%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV -0.736%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.817%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.13%52.53%52.35%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.801.9057.80%55.33%55.56%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ashlyn Krueger (Local): 47.76%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 52.24%. For Ashlyn Krueger (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.287%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.287%E +0.137%K +0.261%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-04 08:10
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -4.01%E -2.00%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-04 08:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.49%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-04 08:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.92%E -3.01%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.92%E -3.01%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.35%E -1.81%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 08:05
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.92%E -2.70%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-04 08:05
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.96%E -3.31%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-04 08:10
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.57%E -4.90%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 08:10
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.88%E -3.53%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.57%E -4.90%K -11.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-04 08:10
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -8.79%E -4.60%K -9.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -0.736%E -0.387%K -0.817%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-04 07:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -9.74%E -5.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -6.48%E -3.62%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-04 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%9.2%2026-05-04 08:10