Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.55
assuming max odds 2.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anhelina Kalinina (Local): 63.75%; Katie Volynets (Visit): 36.25%. For Katie Volynets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.311%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.27%EV -1.19%E -0.767%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 36.73%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-05 14:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.46%E -1.61%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.10%E -2.04%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -3.74%E -2.48%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -2.12%E -0.787%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.03%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.97%EV -3.21%E -1.20%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.38%E -2.92%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -13.00%E -5.42%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-05 14:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.01%E -3.36%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.82%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.82%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.65%E -3.82%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.58%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.42%EV -2.85%E -1.06%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -9.74%E -3.91%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -6.29%E -4.28%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -9.74%E -3.91%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -6.93%E -4.74%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.311%E -0.113%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-05 14:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.75%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-05 14:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.56%E -2.97%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.82%EV -7.56%E -5.22%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -11.19%E -4.57%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.02%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-05 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.20%E -5.69%K -18.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.37%E -3.75%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.34%EV -8.84%E -6.18%K -20.55%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.66%EV -6.47%E -2.51%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-05 14:43 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55% | 0.5% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40% | 0.9% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56% | 4.2% | 2026-05-05 14:45 |