The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anastasia Potapova v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -1.000%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%64.58%62.50%80.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.471.481.5782.64%68.09%67.57%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV +87.27%
Edge +17.39%
Kelly +21.71%
Growth +18.95%

assuming max odds 5.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.42%35.42%37.50%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.672.505.0243.48%37.48%40.00%19.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 62.69%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 37.31%. For Nikola Bartunkova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +87.27%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 80.58%EV -24.14%E -19.95%K -114.95%G +0.000%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.42%EV +87.27%E +17.39%K +21.71%G +18.95%2.6%2026-05-05 08:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -10.97%E -7.73%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV +7.44%E +2.58%K +3.96%G +0.294%5.1%2026-05-05 08:55
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -10.97%E -7.73%K -26.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +0.725%E +0.269%K +0.427%G +0.003%7.5%2026-05-05 08:45
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.72%E -6.75%K -22.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.26%E -0.862%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 08:53
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -10.35%E -7.24%K -24.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -4.87%E -1.91%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 08:55
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.96%E -3.97%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.74%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 08:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.74%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 08:55
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.21%E -4.87%K -15.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.74%E -2.69%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-05 08:55
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -5.33%E -3.53%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 08:54
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.84%E -5.33%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 08:55
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.84%E -5.33%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.60%E -3.51%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 08:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 08:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.08%E -2.67%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.47%E -4.36%K -7.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 08:54
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.57%E -1.000%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 08:50
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -2.82%E -1.82%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -14.20%E -6.17%K -10.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-05 08:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-05-05 08:55
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 63.38%2.51I 39.84%NM 36.62%8.8%2026-05-05 08:55