The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova v Veronika Erjavec

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (Local)

Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV +17.76%
Edge +3.75%
Kelly +4.76%
Growth +0.846%

assuming max odds 4.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.00%25.08%24.90%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.104.054.384.7332.26%24.71%22.86%21.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Veronika Erjavec (Visit)

Prediction 75.10%1.33fair odd
EV -0.112%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.340%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.98%74.92%75.10%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.231.221.3386.96%81.47%81.97%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (Local): 24.90%; Veronika Erjavec (Visit): 75.10%. For Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +17.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.73I 21.14%NM 20.50%EV +17.76%E +3.75%K +4.76%G +0.846%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.50%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.06%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-04 15:55
Fliff🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV +14.52%E +3.16%K +4.03%G +0.586%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -13.63%E -11.85%K -90.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 15:55
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.03%E +2.67%K +3.44%G +0.414%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.38%E -9.64%K -63.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +12.03%E +2.67%K +3.44%G +0.414%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -11.38%E -9.64%K -63.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 15:55
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.81%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.37%E -6.86%K -38.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-04 15:45
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.60%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 15:55
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -16.60%E -4.95%K -7.06%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -4.62%E -3.64%K -17.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-04 15:55
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -22.82%E -7.36%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -0.112%E -0.084%K -0.340%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-04 15:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%3.2%2026-05-04 15:55