The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Aliaksandra Sasnovich v Julia Grabher

Kickoff: 2026-05-04 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local)

Prediction 63.58%1.57fair odd
EV +3.64%
Edge +2.23%
Kelly +5.78%
Growth +0.210%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.25%63.17%63.58%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.471.451.6371.43%67.90%68.97%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Julia Grabher (Visit)

Prediction 36.42%2.75fair odd
EV +0.149%
Edge +0.054%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%36.83%36.42%40.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.582.602.7542.19%38.76%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local): 63.58%; Julia Grabher (Visit): 36.42%. For Aliaksandra Sasnovich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.25%EV +3.64%E +2.23%K +5.78%G +0.210%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -13.69%E -5.78%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-04 09:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.63%E -3.08%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.31%E -2.04%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 09:55
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 09:55
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.81%E -5.38%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.13%E -2.80%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-04 09:55
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.44%E -5.86%K -19.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.59%E -1.75%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-04 09:55
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.98%E -7.85%K -27.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV +0.149%E +0.054%K +0.085%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-04 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-05-04 09:55