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Alexandra Eala v Elena Rybakina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Prediction 7.29%13.72fair odd
EV +38.44%
Edge +2.02%
Kelly +2.14%
Growth +0.821%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.14%7.49%7.28%10.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0012.9013.0019.0011.11%7.75%7.69%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elena Rybakina (Visit)
Prediction 92.71%1.08fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -28.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
89.64%92.51%92.72%94.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0699.01%97.67%98.04%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 7.29%; Elena Rybakina (Visit): 92.71%. For Alexandra Eala (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.72. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +38.44%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.14%EV +38.44%E +2.02%K +2.14%G +0.821% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.86%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +23.86%E +1.40%K +1.49%G +0.356% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 16.40I 6.10%NM 6.07%EV +19.49%E +1.19%K +1.27%G +0.247% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.93%EV -1.72%E -1.63%K -28.72%G +0.000% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +16.58%E +1.04%K +1.11%G +0.183% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV +9.29%E +0.619%K +0.664%G +0.062% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.29%E +0.619%K +0.664%G +0.062% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.29%E +0.619%K +0.664%G +0.062% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV +9.29%E +0.619%K +0.664%G +0.062% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV +2.00%E +0.143%K +0.154%G +0.003% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -1.64%E -0.121%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -2.65%E -2.52%K -53.01%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -5.28%E -0.406%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -12.57%E -1.05%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.21%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.21%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV -16.21%E -1.41%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV -17.67%E -1.56%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -19.85%E -1.80%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -6.36%E -6.30%K -635.89%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -23.50%E -2.24%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -23.50%E -2.24%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -4.50%E -4.37%K -150.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.43%EV -28.60%E -2.92%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.57%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -34.43%E -3.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -3.58%E -3.44%K -89.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.18%EV -34.43%E -3.83%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 89.82%EV -5.43%E -5.33%K -271.59%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.11% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.89% | 0.4% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.82% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.18% | 1.1% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 14:50 |