The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ajla Tomljanovic v Leolia Jeanjean

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ajla Tomljanovic (Local)

Prediction 35.12%2.85fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.590%
Kelly -0.918%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%35.22%35.16%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.642.652.8040.00%37.84%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leolia Jeanjean (Visit)

Prediction 64.88%1.54fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -5.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%64.78%64.84%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.5071.43%69.62%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ajla Tomljanovic (Local): 35.12%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 64.88%. For Ajla Tomljanovic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.65%E -0.590%K -0.918%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 08:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 08:55
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-05 08:55
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:54
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.41%E -1.24%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-05 08:53
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-05 08:55
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -5.17%E -1.91%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.17%E -6.55%K -22.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-05 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 08:54
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-05 08:54
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.68%E -3.34%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -12.19%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -2.69%E -1.79%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 08:55
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.19%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:55
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -12.19%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -5.93%E -4.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-05 08:55
Fliff🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -12.19%E -4.88%K -8.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -6.58%E -4.57%K -14.95%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-05 08:55
Pinnacle🎯⚠ implausible1.50I 66.67%NM 64.45%EV -47.31%E -31.54%K -94.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.55%EV +76.46%E +28.11%K +44.45%G +33.99%3.4%2026-05-05 08:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%0.8%2026-05-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.40%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.60%0.9%2026-05-05 08:55
Smarkets◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.25%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.75%1.4%2026-05-05 08:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%3.2%2026-05-05 08:55
Novig◎2.53I 39.53%NM 36.59%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.41%8.0%2026-05-05 08:55