Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic v Marina Stakusic

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

61%

39%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Viktorija Golubic (Local)

Prediction 60.81%1.64fair odd

EV +4.59%

Edge +2.67%

Kelly +6.37%

Growth +0.292%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.01%60.79%60.89%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.451.521.511.7268.97%65.59%66.23%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marina Stakusic (Visit)

Prediction 39.19%2.55fair odd

EV +7.78%

Edge +2.83%

Kelly +4.45%

Growth +0.346%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.52%39.21%39.11%43.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.192.422.402.7545.66%41.36%41.67%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Viktorija Golubic (Local): 60.81%; Marina Stakusic (Visit): 39.19%. For Marina Stakusic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.78%.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.83%E -8.16%K -26.29%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +7.78%E +2.83%K +4.45%G +0.346%	5.3%	2026-03-01 21:54
Bovada🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -8.18%E -5.42%K -16.04%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV +1.90%E +0.731%K +1.19%G +0.023%	4.7%	2026-03-01 21:54
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-01 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.98%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-01 21:54
theScore Bet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -6.36%E -4.13%K -11.77%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-03-01 21:54
NordicBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.61%E -7.22%K -22.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-03-01 21:55
Betsson🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -10.61%E -7.22%K -22.58%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-03-01 21:55
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-01 21:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-01 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.96%E -4.55%K -13.14%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-03-01 21:54
Fliff🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.79%E -5.86%K -17.58%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-03-01 21:55
Bet Victor🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.53%E -2.89%K -7.95%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-01 21:54
Pinnacle🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV +4.59%E +2.67%K +6.37%G +0.292%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -14.17%E -6.47%K -11.91%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-03-01 21:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%	2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%	3.5%	2026-03-01 21:54