Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.06
assuming max odds 2.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 48.55%; Leolia Jeanjean (Visit): 51.45%. For Leolia Jeanjean (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -16.99%E -9.93%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV +5.48%E +2.67%K +5.22%G +0.286% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.51%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.51%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.19%E -5.51%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.62%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -12.62%E -7.01%K -15.77%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -4.81%E -2.60%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.84%E -3.19%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -1.94%E -0.959%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -6.87%E -3.79%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -7.90%E -4.41%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.49%EV +0.005%E +0.002%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.51%EV -7.90%E -4.41%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 22:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -8.41%E -4.73%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 22:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.70%EV -6.31%E -3.27%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.30%EV -9.44%E -5.36%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-03 22:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.96%E -5.69%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-03 22:38 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.98%E -6.35%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -2.91%E -1.45%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.98%E -6.35%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -5.34%E -2.74%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -12.01%E -7.03%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.60% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 22:40 |