Language:English
Sloane Stephens v Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sloane Stephens (Local)
Prediction 32.06%3.12fair odd
EV +24.39%
Edge +6.29%
Kelly +8.47%
Growth +2.07%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.30%31.31%33.73%37.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.453.122.953.8840.82%32.08%33.90%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit)
Prediction 67.94%1.47fair odd
EV +1.91%
Edge +1.27%
Kelly +3.82%
Growth +0.073%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.18%68.69%66.27%75.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.361.401.5081.97%73.39%71.43%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sloane Stephens (Local): 32.06%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 67.94%. For Sloane Stephens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.12. 22 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.39%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV +24.39%E +6.29%K +8.47%G +2.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -11.68%E -8.98%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +21.83%E +5.74%K +7.79%G +1.70% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -13.72%E -10.80%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV +21.83%E +5.74%K +7.79%G +1.70% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -13.72%E -10.80%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +21.83%E +5.74%K +7.79%G +1.70% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -17.11%E -14.03%K -77.78%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 04:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +20.22%E +5.39%K +7.35%G +1.49% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -15.07%E -12.06%K -60.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +20.22%E +5.39%K +7.35%G +1.49% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -15.07%E -12.06%K -60.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV +19.90%E +5.32%K +7.26%G +1.45% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -13.72%E -10.80%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 04:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +18.62%E +5.03%K +6.90%G +1.28% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -13.04%E -10.18%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:36 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +18.62%E +5.03%K +6.90%G +1.28% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -13.04%E -10.18%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV +18.62%E +5.03%K +6.90%G +1.28% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -13.04%E -10.18%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +18.62%E +5.03%K +6.90%G +1.28% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -15.07%E -12.06%K -60.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV +18.62%E +5.03%K +6.90%G +1.28% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.05%EV -16.43%E -13.36%K -71.45%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-05 04:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +17.02%E +4.66%K +6.42%G +1.09% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -13.72%E -10.80%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-05 04:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +16.38%E +4.51%K +6.23%G +1.02% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -11.00%E -8.40%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV +16.38%E +4.51%K +6.23%G +1.02% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -11.00%E -8.40%K -35.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +15.41%E +4.28%K +5.93%G +0.914% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -13.04%E -10.18%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +15.41%E +4.28%K +5.93%G +0.914% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.07%E -12.06%K -60.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +15.41%E +4.28%K +5.93%G +0.914% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.07%E -12.06%K -60.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV +13.81%E +3.89%K +5.42%G +0.748% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -13.04%E -10.18%K -46.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 04:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +12.21%E +3.49%K +4.88%G +0.596% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -11.68%E -8.98%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 04:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV +10.61%E +3.07%K +4.33%G +0.459% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -11.68%E -8.98%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 04:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +9.00%E +2.65%K +3.75%G +0.338% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -11.68%E -8.98%K -38.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 04:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -3.82%E -1.27%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.64%E -7.25%K -29.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.52%E -2.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -4.20%E -2.98%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.42%E -1.84%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.03%E -2.42%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.67%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 04:43 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.63%E -3.03%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.24%E -4.52%K -16.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -2.85%E -1.99%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -10.23%E -3.65%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.60%E -5.59%K -21.11%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -10.87%E -3.91%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -1.49%E -1.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.52%E -2.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.88%E -3.49%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -11.84%E -4.30%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 66.75%EV -6.92%E -5.05%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -13.12%E -4.84%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.14%EV -1.49%E -1.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -1.49%E -1.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -13.44%E -4.98%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -2.17%E -1.50%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -15.04%E -5.68%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.49%E -1.02%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -15.04%E -5.68%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -3.52%E -2.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -16.65%E -6.40%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -3.52%E -2.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.59%EV -17.61%E -6.85%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.41%EV -3.52%E -2.48%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 04:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -19.85%E -7.94%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV +1.91%E +1.27%K +3.82%G +0.073% | 6.7% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -21.45%E -8.76%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV +1.23%E +0.826%K +2.51%G +0.031% | 7.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 0.4% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59% | 0.5% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 0.9% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.79% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.21% | 1.4% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.72% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.28% | 2.1% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14% | 6.4% | 2026-03-05 04:45 |