The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Simona Waltert v Himeno Sakatsume

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Simona Waltert (Local)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.80%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.82%56.00%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.691.7360.61%59.32%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Himeno Sakatsume (Visit)

Prediction 44.00%2.27fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.86%44.18%44.00%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.152.2250.00%47.07%46.51%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Simona Waltert (Local): 56.00%; Himeno Sakatsume (Visit): 44.00%. For Himeno Sakatsume (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.27. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.22, with an expected value of -2.32%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 11:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.12%E -1.80%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -12.00%E -6.00%K -12.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 16:14
Pinnacle🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:40
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.32%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -2.32%E -1.05%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 17:34
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-01 16:45
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -4.08%E -1.87%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 17:55
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-01 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 14:00
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.20%E -1.46%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 14:19
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 16:54
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.40%E -2.51%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 14:19
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.60%E -4.60%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.60%E -3.62%K -6.91%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 17:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-03-01 17:50