Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.67
assuming max odds 3.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 63.51%; Priscilla Hon (Visit): 36.49%. For Priscilla Hon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.11%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -15.53%E -11.67%K -47.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV +13.11%E +4.23%K +6.24%G +0.818% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -9.81%E -6.91%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +7.63%E +2.59%K +3.91%G +0.299% | 4.3% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.08%E -7.91%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.16%E +0.772%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.08%E -7.91%K -27.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.16%E +0.772%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -12.99%E -9.48%K -35.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV +2.16%E +0.772%K +1.20%G +0.026% | 8.7% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +0.336%E +0.122%K +0.192%G +0.001% | 5.3% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.54%E -5.93%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -8.54%E -5.93%K -19.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -4.41%E -1.68%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.90%E -5.45%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.81%E -6.91%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.81%E -6.91%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV +2.26%E +1.40%K +3.70%G +0.084% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV +3.53%E +2.16%K +5.60%G +0.198% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV +3.53%E +2.16%K +5.60%G +0.198% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-02 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -2.82%E -1.85%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -13.16%E -5.53%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV +1.62%E +1.01%K +2.70%G +0.044% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -16.08%E -6.99%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-02 22:38 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV +4.80%E +2.91%K +7.38%G +0.354% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -17.54%E -7.76%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 22:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV +2.89%E +1.79%K +4.67%G +0.135% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -17.91%E -7.96%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-02 22:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.20%EV +0.352%E +0.223%K +0.607%G +0.002% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -19.73%E -8.97%K -16.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-02 22:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV +6.07%E +3.63%K +9.06%G +0.550% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -23.38%E -11.13%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 22:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92% | 0.3% | 2026-03-02 22:45 |