The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Priscilla Hon v Darja Vidmanova

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Priscilla Hon (Local)

Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV -2.42%
Edge -0.979%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%39.86%39.42%41.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.382.4745.45%42.58%42.02%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Darja Vidmanova (Visit)

Prediction 60.49%1.65fair odd
EV -2.00%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.36%60.14%60.58%61.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.80%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Priscilla Hon (Local): 39.51%; Darja Vidmanova (Visit): 60.49%. For Darja Vidmanova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.62, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.42%E -0.979%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 22:10
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.21%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 21:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.60%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 22:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV -3.60%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-03 22:07
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:06
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.02%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 22:10
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.24%E -4.02%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.44%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 22:10
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.44%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 22:10
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.44%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 22:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -5.97%E -2.51%K -4.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -9.26%E -6.17%K -18.52%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 22:04
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.42%E -2.80%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 22:10
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 22:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.14%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.00%E -1.23%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 22:04
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -3.21%E -2.01%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-03 22:10
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.44%E -4.87%K -14.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-03 22:10
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 22:10
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -13.09%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -5.03%E -3.20%K -8.82%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-03 22:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%3.7%2026-03-03 22:10