Language:English
Mirra Andreeva v Katerina Siniakova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mirra Andreeva (Local)
Prediction 77.09%1.30fair odd
EV +0.991%
Edge +0.757%
Kelly +3.20%
Growth +0.032%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.34%77.21%77.70%82.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.151.221.231.3186.96%81.85%81.30%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Katerina Siniakova (Visit)
Prediction 22.91%4.37fair odd
EV +24.16%
Edge +4.46%
Kelly +5.47%
Growth +1.32%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.00%22.79%22.30%27.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.174.105.4229.41%23.96%24.39%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mirra Andreeva (Local): 77.09%; Katerina Siniakova (Visit): 22.91%. For Katerina Siniakova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +24.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.00%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 5.42I 18.45%NM 18.00%EV +24.16%E +4.46%K +5.47%G +1.32% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +16.83%E +3.30%K +4.10%G +0.691% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +16.83%E +3.30%K +4.10%G +0.691% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 20:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.32%EV -10.57%E -9.11%K -66.08%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.68%EV +15.68%E +3.11%K +3.87%G +0.607% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 20:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.94%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 5.01I 19.96%NM 19.06%EV +14.77%E +2.95%K +3.68%G +0.544% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 20:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +14.54%E +2.91%K +3.63%G +0.528% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 20:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -11.34%E -9.86%K -75.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +14.54%E +2.91%K +3.63%G +0.528% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 20:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +12.25%E +2.50%K +3.14%G +0.385% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 20:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV +11.10%E +2.29%K +2.88%G +0.320% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -11.34%E -9.86%K -75.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +9.96%E +2.07%K +2.62%G +0.261% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.67%EV -11.34%E -9.86%K -75.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV +9.96%E +2.07%K +2.62%G +0.261% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -8.26%E -6.94%K -43.47%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.97%EV +9.27%E +1.94%K +2.46%G +0.228% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +8.81%E +1.85%K +2.35%G +0.207% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 20:33 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV +6.52%E +1.40%K +1.79%G +0.116% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 20:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -9.03%E -7.65%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV +5.37%E +1.17%K +1.49%G +0.080% | 6.5% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -6.72%E -5.55%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV +3.08%E +0.685%K +0.881%G +0.027% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +3.08%E +0.685%K +0.881%G +0.027% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 20:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +3.08%E +0.685%K +0.881%G +0.027% | 7.7% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +0.792%E +0.180%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -9.80%E -8.38%K -57.66%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV +0.792%E +0.180%K +0.233%G +0.002% | 8.2% | 2026-03-09 20:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.64%E -0.622%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.64%E -0.622%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -7.49%E -6.24%K -37.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -3.79%E -0.902%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.08%E -1.48%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.37%E -2.09%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.25%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -9.52%E -2.41%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -2.86%E -2.27%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -10.66%E -2.73%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.09%EV -6.72%E -5.55%K -31.99%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -11.81%E -3.07%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 20:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.41%E -3.55%K -18.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -12.95%E -3.41%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -2.09%E -1.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -14.10%E -3.76%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 20:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -1.32%E -1.03%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -15.24%E -4.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.20%EV -5.95%E -4.87%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -15.24%E -4.12%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -5.18%E -4.21%K -22.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -16.39%E -4.49%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV +0.991%E +0.757%K +3.20%G +0.032% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 20:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -3.63%E -2.91%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -17.53%E -4.87%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.65%EV -2.09%E -1.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -18.68%E -5.26%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +0.220%E +0.170%K +0.735%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +0.220%E +0.170%K +0.735%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV +0.220%E +0.170%K +0.735%G +0.002% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -0.550%E -0.427%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -1.32%E -1.03%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -1.32%E -1.03%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -22.11%E -6.50%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 20:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.66% | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.34% | 2.5% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60% | 7.3% | 2026-03-09 20:40 |