Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Brengle v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 21:50 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Brengle (Local)

Prediction 33.05%3.03fair odd
EV +9.72%
Edge +2.93%
Kelly +4.19%
Growth +0.407%

assuming max odds 3.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%32.62%33.01%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.862.803.3237.04%35.02%35.71%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 66.95%1.49fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -8.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%67.38%66.99%71.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4474.63%71.40%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Brengle (Local): 33.05%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 66.95%. For Madison Brengle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV +9.72%E +2.93%K +4.19%G +0.407%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -10.28%E -7.68%K -30.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 21:44
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.855%E -0.285%K -0.427%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 21:45
Pinnacle🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 32.20%EV -1.19%E -0.396%K -0.596%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.80%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-01 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -1.52%E -0.509%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -5.60%E -3.97%K -13.65%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 21:40
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.93%E -3.47%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 21:40
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 21:45
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.16%E -1.43%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-01 21:09
NordicBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 21:24
Betsson🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -7.46%E -2.67%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 21:25
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-01 21:05
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 11:29
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 12:29
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 12:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.27%E -4.48%K -15.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-01 18:15
Fliff🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -9.12%E -3.32%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -7.61%E -5.51%K -20.02%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 21:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.77%E -3.99%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.59%E -2.49%K -8.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-01 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%3.7%2026-03-01 21:45