Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 2.70
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lulu Sun (Local): 62.57%; Diane Parry (Visit): 37.43%. For Lulu Sun (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +3.25%E +1.97%K +5.00%G +0.162% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -15.79%E -7.02%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.76%E -1.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.92%E -6.05%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -1.76%E -1.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -13.92%E -6.05%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-03 18:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.14%EV -2.38%E -1.53%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.86%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-03 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.29%EV -3.01%E -1.94%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.71%EV -4.19%E -1.64%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-03 18:11 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.26%E -2.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-03 18:03 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.26%E -2.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.31%E -3.39%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 18:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.821%E -0.310%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 18:03 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.93%E -4.59%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-03 18:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.05%E -5.13%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:07 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.05%E -5.13%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-03 18:06 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -6.77%E -4.54%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -1.57%E -0.597%K -0.963%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 18:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.77%E -4.54%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.18%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-03 18:11 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.39%E -4.99%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.69%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-03 18:08 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.05%E +0.389%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV +1.05%E +0.389%K +0.618%G +0.006% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.94%E -0.742%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 18:08 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.94%E -0.742%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.89%E -6.87%K -22.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -1.94%E -0.742%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 18:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90% | 3.9% | 2026-03-03 18:11 |