The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Katie Boulter v Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prediction 82.10%1.22fair odd
EV +0.985%
Edge +0.801%
Kelly +4.28%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.04%81.61%82.89%85.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.151.131.2391.74%86.66%88.50%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit)

Prediction 17.90%5.59fair odd
EV +16.34%
Edge +2.51%
Kelly +2.97%
Growth +0.485%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.47%18.39%17.11%23.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.845.265.506.5026.04%19.00%18.18%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 82.10%; Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit): 17.90%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.34%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.69%E -8.81%K -96.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +16.34%E +2.51%K +2.97%G +0.485%6.3%2026-03-03 21:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.69%E -8.81%K -96.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +16.34%E +2.51%K +2.97%G +0.485%6.3%2026-03-03 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -9.69%E -8.81%K -96.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +16.34%E +2.51%K +2.97%G +0.485%6.3%2026-03-03 21:55
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -8.05%E -7.18%K -67.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV +11.86%E +1.90%K +2.26%G +0.268%5.3%2026-03-03 21:55
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.87%E -7.99%K -80.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +7.39%E +1.23%K +1.48%G +0.109%6.8%2026-03-03 21:55
NordicBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -10.51%E -9.64%K -116.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV +2.02%E +0.354%K +0.430%G +0.009%9.3%2026-03-03 21:55
Betsson🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -10.51%E -9.64%K -116.77%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV +2.02%E +0.354%K +0.430%G +0.009%9.3%2026-03-03 21:55
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.58%E -4.85%K -37.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 21:54
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.23%E -6.39%K -55.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -7.23%E -6.39%K -55.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-03 21:55
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -8.05%E -7.18%K -67.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 21:55
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.08%EV -8.87%E -7.99%K -80.61%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 16.92%EV -2.45%E -0.450%K -0.551%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-03 21:55
PlayUp🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.30%E -1.93%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -17.67%E -3.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.164%E +0.134%K +0.746%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -19.46%E -4.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:48
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV +0.164%E +0.134%K +0.746%G +0.001%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -19.46%E -4.32%K -5.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 21:49
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.50%EV +0.985%E +0.801%K +4.28%G +0.042%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.50%EV -19.64%E -4.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-03 20:51
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV +0.164%E +0.134%K +0.746%G +0.001%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -22.14%E -5.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-03 21:41
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +0.164%E +0.134%K +0.746%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -24.83%E -5.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 14:05
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV +0.164%E +0.134%K +0.746%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -24.83%E -5.91%K -7.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-03 16:16
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.04%EV -0.657%E -0.543%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 23.96%EV -31.27%E -8.14%K -11.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-03-03 21:55