Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Julieta Pareja v Lanlana Tararudee

Kickoff: 2026-03-02 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Julieta Pareja (Local)

Prediction 27.31%3.66fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.645%
Kelly +0.879%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%27.21%27.29%32.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.403.403.7533.90%29.37%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanlana Tararudee (Visit)

Prediction 72.69%1.38fair odd
EV +3.22%
Edge +2.27%
Kelly +7.66%
Growth +0.247%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.51%72.79%72.71%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.291.4280.00%77.14%77.52%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Julieta Pareja (Local): 27.31%; Lanlana Tararudee (Visit): 72.69%. For Lanlana Tararudee (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.38. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -19.43%E -6.59%K -9.96%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV +3.22%E +2.27%K +7.66%G +0.247%4.3%2026-03-01 23:52
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.32%E -2.50%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 23:54
Pinnacle🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -0.314%E -0.086%K -0.118%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -4.05%E -3.07%K -12.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-01 23:55
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.50%E -4.23%K -18.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 23:54
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.23%E -4.83%K -21.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 23:55
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.96%E -5.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 23:54
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.10%EV -11.24%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.90%EV -7.69%E -6.05%K -28.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-01 23:54
theScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +2.42%E +0.645%K +0.879%G +0.021%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.14%E -7.31%K -36.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 23:54
Fliff🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.41%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.14%E -7.31%K -36.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-01 23:54
NordicBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -7.14%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.12%EV -9.14%E -7.31%K -36.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%4.2%2026-03-01 23:55