Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 10.96
assuming max odds 1.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Joanna Garland (Local): 16.28%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 83.72%. For Joanna Garland (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.96, corresponding to a positive expected value of +78.39%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 10.96I 9.12%NM 9.05%EV +78.39%E +7.15%K +7.87%G +6.17% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.95%EV -8.74%E -8.02%K -97.12%G +0.000% | 0.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +30.21%E +3.78%K +4.32%G +1.30% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -9.58%E -8.87%K -119.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV +9.86%E +1.46%K +1.72%G +0.169% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.27%EV -1.53%E -0.253%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.73%EV -8.74%E -8.02%K -97.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -2.34%E -0.391%K -0.469%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -7.07%E -6.37%K -64.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.48%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.23%E -5.56%K -51.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -10.48%E -1.91%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.23%E -5.56%K -51.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.55%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -14.55%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.01%EV -16.99%E -3.33%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.99%EV -6.23%E -5.56%K -51.91%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -18.62%E -3.72%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.03%EV -21.06%E -4.34%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.97%EV -4.55%E -4.00%K -32.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -26.76%E -5.95%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -1.21%E -1.02%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-02 23:53 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.57% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.43% | 2.4% | 2026-03-02 23:55 |