L’École des cotes

Jessica Pegula v Donna Vekic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 02:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prévision 86.15%1.16cote équitable
EV -3.52%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -29.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.27%86.16%86.23%88.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.051.101.111.1295.24%90.65%90.09%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Donna Vekic (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.85%7.22cote équitable
EV +13.60%
Avantage +1.66%
Kelly +1.89%
Croissance +0.257%

avec la cote maximale 8.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.64%13.84%13.77%15.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.826.958.2016.67%14.67%14.40%12.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV +13.60%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.257%4.8%2026-03-07 22:15
BoyleSports1.10I 90.91%NM 87.91%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.09%EV +10.83%E +1.35%K +1.55%G +0.168%3.4%2026-03-07 16:44
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +10.83%E +1.35%K +1.55%G +0.168%5.1%2026-03-07 22:14
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.14%EV -9.55%E -9.09%K -190.93%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.86%EV +8.06%E +1.03%K +1.19%G +0.096%8.1%2026-03-08 00:35
Pinnacle1.11I 90.09%NM 87.51%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.78I 12.85%NM 12.49%EV +7.78%E +1.00%K +1.15%G +0.089%2.9%2026-03-08 01:24
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +3.90%E +0.520%K +0.600%G +0.023%3.4%2026-03-07 22:15
BetUS1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +3.90%E +0.520%K +0.600%G +0.023%5.9%2026-03-07 22:15
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 86.44%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.56%EV -2.89%E -0.412%K -0.480%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 01:50
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-08 01:44
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:10
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:10
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:44
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:20
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 22:14
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 22:14
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 22:14
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 00:29
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -3.02%E -0.432%K -0.504%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 00:40
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 86.19%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.81%EV -3.16%E -0.452%K -0.528%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-06 12:01
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -4.41%E -0.639%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 01:50
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%EV -4.41%E -0.639%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 22:09
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.16%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.84%EV -5.10%E -0.745%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -5.79%E -0.852%K -0.999%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 20:04
Codere (IT)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -5.79%E -0.852%K -0.999%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-08 00:34
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -5.79%E -0.852%K -0.999%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 01:48
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.49%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 01:44
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -6.49%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 16:09
NetBet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -6.49%E -0.961%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 00:09
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 14:20
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -8.70%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-06 14:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 06:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 06:25
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 13:50
Betr (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:39
SportsBet1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.96%E -6.45%K -87.03%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.95%E -1.53%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 22:14
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -10.64%E -1.65%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 22:24
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.10%E -5.60%K -67.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -11.34%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:09
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.10%E -5.60%K -67.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -11.34%E -1.77%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:10
PlayUp1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.41%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 15:25
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -13.41%E -2.15%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 06:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -14.11%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 06:24
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -14.11%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 06:25
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 12:00
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 12:35
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 22:49
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.52%E -3.14%K -29.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 22:50
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 16:25
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.38%E -3.94%K -39.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 12:15
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.24%E -4.76%K -52.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -16.88%E -2.81%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-08 00:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-08 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-08 00:54
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-03-08 01:44
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-03-08 01:45
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-03-08 01:49