Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Beatriz Haddad Maia

Início: 2026-03-04 22:45 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Previsão 57.44%1.74odd justa
EV -2.93%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -4.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.56%57.47%57.41%59.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.55%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visitante)

Previsão 42.56%2.35odd justa
EV +0.449%
Vantagem +0.190%
Kelly +0.330%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.36

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.00%42.53%42.59%43.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.222.202.3646.51%45.15%45.45%42.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local): 57.44%; Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visitante): 42.56%. Para Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.35. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.36, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.449%.

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.449%E +0.190%K +0.330%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-04 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.449%E +0.190%K +0.330%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-04 22:40
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.25%E -0.540%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 22:40
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:40
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.81%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.81%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:38
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:39
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:39
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:39
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.94%E -2.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:27
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:37
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:40
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:27
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:40
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:34
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:40
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:40
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:39
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.79%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:31
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.64%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 22:38
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 22:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 22:36
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-03-04 22:40