L’École des cotes

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro v Beatriz Haddad Maia

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 22:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Local)

Prévision 57.44%1.74cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.56%57.47%57.41%59.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.55%60.61%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Beatriz Haddad Maia (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.56%2.35cote équitable
EV +0.449%
Avantage +0.190%
Kelly +0.330%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.00%42.53%42.59%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.222.202.3646.51%45.15%45.45%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.449%E +0.190%K +0.330%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-04 22:40
BetOnline.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV +0.449%E +0.190%K +0.330%G +0.001%3.3%2026-03-04 22:40
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV -1.25%E -0.540%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 22:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.10%E -0.915%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:40
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.81%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Bet Right1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.81%E -1.68%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:38
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 22:39
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:39
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:40
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.23%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:39
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 22:39
DraftKings1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.38%E -3.91%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.66%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:38
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.94%E -2.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:34
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.93%E -1.73%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:27
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.51%E -2.09%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:40
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:37
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:40
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:27
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.08%E -2.44%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:40
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:34
SportsBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.80%E -3.54%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:40
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.36%E -2.89%K -5.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:39
Codere (IT)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -4.65%E -2.80%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -6.79%E -3.10%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 22:31
NetBet (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.41%EV -7.53%E -4.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.59%EV -7.64%E -3.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 22:38
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 22:40
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -8.06%E -3.73%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-04 22:40
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.23%E -3.17%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.95%E -4.29%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.10%E -5.06%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.49%E -3.95%K -7.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 22:36
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-04 22:40
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-03-04 22:40