Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 3.07
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iva Jović (Local): 66.94%; Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit): 33.06%. For Maria Camila Osorio Serrano (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.48%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.37%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.63%EV +1.48%E +0.482%K +0.715%G +0.011% | 3.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -0.172%E -0.057%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.27%E -2.99%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -0.833%E -0.278%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.833%E -0.278%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.833%E -0.278%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.62%E -5.52%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -0.833%E -0.278%K -0.417%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.83%E -0.614%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -1.83%E -0.614%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -2.16%E -0.728%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 01:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.29%E -6.05%K -22.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.62%E -7.13%K -27.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -2.49%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.62%E -5.52%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.14%E -1.43%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -4.47%E -1.55%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.80%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.53%EV -7.62%E -5.52%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.47%EV -5.13%E -1.79%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.61%E -3.98%K -13.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.62%E -5.52%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -7.62%E -5.52%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -5.79%E -2.03%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.27%E -2.99%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.27%E -2.99%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.44%E -2.66%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -1.59%E -1.08%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.60%E -2.50%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.60%E -2.50%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.60%E -2.50%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.60%E -2.50%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.60%E -2.50%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 01:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 01:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.10%E -3.31%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.94%E -3.48%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -10.75%E -3.98%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.28%E -4.48%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.40%E -4.68%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.02% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.98% | 3.5% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |