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Himeno Sakatsume v Alycia Parks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Himeno Sakatsume (Local)
Prediction 49.69%2.01fair odd
EV +36.65%
Edge +13.33%
Kelly +20.94%
Growth +7.68%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%48.65%49.48%52.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.991.972.7557.14%50.36%50.76%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alycia Parks (Visit)
Prediction 50.31%1.99fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.713%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.30%51.35%50.52%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.801.801.9670.42%55.62%55.56%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Himeno Sakatsume (Local): 49.69%; Alycia Parks (Visit): 50.31%. For Himeno Sakatsume (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +36.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +36.65%E +13.33%K +20.94%G +7.68% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -28.56%E -20.11%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV +31.68%E +11.96%K +19.20%G +6.08% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -28.06%E -19.62%K -65.26%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +24.23%E +9.69%K +16.15%G +3.91% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -24.54%E -16.36%K -49.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.78%EV +7.83%E +3.61%K +6.69%G +0.524% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.22%EV -11.46%E -6.51%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV +6.84%E +3.18%K +5.95%G +0.407% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -14.48%E -8.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV +5.35%E +2.52%K +4.77%G +0.255% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -12.46%E -7.16%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 23:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV +4.35%E +2.07%K +3.96%G +0.172% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -13.47%E -7.83%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.57%EV +3.86%E +1.85%K +3.54%G +0.136% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.43%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 23:18 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +2.86%E +1.38%K +2.68%G +0.077% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -9.95%E -5.56%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV +2.86%E +1.38%K +2.68%G +0.077% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -9.95%E -5.56%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV +1.87%E +0.912%K +1.78%G +0.033% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV +1.87%E +0.912%K +1.78%G +0.033% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -11.46%E -6.51%K -15.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:18 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.87%E +0.912%K +1.78%G +0.033% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV +1.87%E +0.912%K +1.78%G +0.033% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 23:12 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -0.119%E -0.059%K -0.118%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 23:16 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:17 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -0.616%E -0.308%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 23:28 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -1.11%E -0.559%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -12.97%E -7.50%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:16 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.61%E -0.813%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -1.61%E -0.813%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -10.45%E -5.87%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.33%EV -2.11%E -1.07%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.67%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -2.60%E -1.33%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.10%E -1.59%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.43%EV -3.60%E -1.85%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.57%EV -11.96%E -6.84%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.41%EV -4.09%E -2.12%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.59%EV -12.46%E -7.16%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.94%E -4.34%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.45%E -5.25%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -5.09%E -2.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -10.96%E -6.19%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.90%E -0.974%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.08%E -3.78%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -1.40%E -0.713%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.90%E -0.974%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.42%E -2.32%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.07%E -4.36%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.75%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -8.57%E -4.66%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -2.91%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -9.06%E -4.95%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.90%E -0.974%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.91%E -2.05%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -10.55%E -5.86%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -5.92%E -3.17%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -12.54%E -7.13%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -6.43%E -3.46%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -13.04%E -7.45%K -17.38%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -1.90%E -0.974%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88% | 0.8% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.27% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |