Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 2.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Eva Lys (Local): 51.20%; Caty McNally (Visit): 48.80%. For Eva Lys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV +7.53%E +3.58%K +6.84%G +0.515% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -13.63%E -7.70%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 08:11 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.90%EV -2.71%E -1.43%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.10%EV -3.87%E -1.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-03 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.74%E -1.99%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.25%E -2.27%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.76%E -2.56%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 21:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.36%E -2.22%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.85%E -2.49%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-03 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.33%E -2.75%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.82%E -3.02%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.27%E -2.85%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 01:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.79%E -3.14%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.38%E -1.71%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 22:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 00:01 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.30%E -3.44%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 20:31 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-03 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 20:01 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -6.31%E -3.29%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-03 20:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 19:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 20:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.83%E -4.35%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.80%E -3.56%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-03 20:01 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.09%EV -8.35%E -4.66%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.91%EV -8.75%E -4.68%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 03:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -9.37%E -5.29%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -2.41%E -1.20%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-03 21:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 22:55 |