The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Emerson Jones v Nikola Bartunkova

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 18:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emerson Jones (Local)

Prediction 40.66%2.46fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.54%40.64%40.68%41.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.322.312.4044.44%43.07%43.20%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)

Prediction 59.34%1.69fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -5.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.59%59.36%59.32%60.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.581.581.6364.52%63.17%63.29%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emerson Jones (Local): 40.66%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 59.34%. For Emerson Jones (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.40, with an expected value of -2.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -2.41%E -1.00%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 16:38
BetOnline.ag🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.65%EV -3.22%E -1.35%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.35%EV -3.28%E -2.01%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-01 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -3.63%E -1.53%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 14:00
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.03%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.88%E -2.39%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 16:55
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.44%E -1.89%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-01 14:00
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -5.25%E -2.25%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.47%E -2.78%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-01 17:55
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 16:45
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.06%E -3.16%K -8.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 17:50
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 14:00
Betsson🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.47%E -2.81%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-01 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.68%EV -8.10%E -3.58%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.32%EV -8.03%E -5.18%K -14.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-01 17:50
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.66%E -3.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-01 17:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 11:29
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.51%E -3.78%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.84%E -4.36%K -12.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-01 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-03-01 17:54