The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Elvina Kalieva v Talia Gibson

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 18:13 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elvina Kalieva (Local)

Prediction 37.37%2.68fair odd
EV -0.981%
Edge -0.370%
Kelly -0.595%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.39%37.44%41.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.522.6544.44%39.97%39.68%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talia Gibson (Visit)

Prediction 62.63%1.60fair odd
EV +0.215%
Edge +0.134%
Kelly +0.359%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.44%62.61%62.56%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.511.6069.44%66.47%66.23%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elvina Kalieva (Local): 37.37%; Talia Gibson (Visit): 62.63%. For Talia Gibson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.597. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.215%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -15.93%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV +0.215%E +0.134%K +0.359%G +0.001%6.9%2026-03-03 18:11
BetOnline.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 16:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.62%EV -3.97%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-03 16:35
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -10.32%E -4.30%K -7.37%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -2.92%E -1.88%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 18:10
Pinnacle🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.38%EV -3.60%E -1.39%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.62%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-03 18:00
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -15.93%E -7.08%K -12.74%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -3.54%E -2.30%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-03 18:11
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.59%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-03 14:05
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-03 08:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.07%E -4.65%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.17%E -2.72%K -7.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 18:05
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -5.09%E -2.00%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -4.80%E -3.15%K -9.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 18:00
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -0.981%E -0.370%K -0.595%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 18:03
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.72%E -1.85%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.05%E -4.03%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.59%E -2.63%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.30%E -4.93%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-02 12:54
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.93%E -5.39%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 18:05
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.45%E -3.45%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -7.93%E -5.39%K -16.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-03 18:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 36.96%EV -6.96%E -2.80%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 63.04%EV -8.55%E -5.86%K -18.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-03 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.85%E -1.10%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.18%E -6.33%K -20.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-03 18:11
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.10%E -0.802%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 18:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.10%E -0.802%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 18:11
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.10%E -0.802%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.81%E -6.81%K -22.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-03 18:11
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-03-03 18:11