Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elizabeth Mandlik v Diane Parry

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 20:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

42%

58%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elizabeth Mandlik (Local)

Prediction 42.19%2.37fair odd

EV +9.71%

Edge +3.73%

Kelly +6.07%

Growth +0.589%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.59%41.76%43.72%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.102.262.252.6047.62%44.25%44.44%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diane Parry (Visit)

Prediction 57.81%1.73fair odd

EV -1.73%

Edge -1.02%

Kelly -2.47%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

55.26%58.24%56.28%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.501.611.601.7066.67%62.00%62.50%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elizabeth Mandlik (Local): 42.19%; Diane Parry (Visit): 57.81%. For Elizabeth Mandlik (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +9.71%E +3.73%K +6.07%G +0.589%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -13.29%E -8.86%K -26.58%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 19:54
Pinnacle🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV +3.38%E +1.38%K +2.33%G +0.079%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -8.09%E -5.09%K -13.71%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-03-01 19:55
Bovada🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +3.38%E +1.38%K +2.33%G +0.079%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-03-01 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +2.96%E +1.21%K +2.05%G +0.061%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-01 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%EV +2.96%E +1.21%K +2.05%G +0.061%	1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-03-01 14:00
Everygame🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.842%E -0.358%K -0.624%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-03-01 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-01 19:44
Coral🎯	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.95%E -1.28%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-03-01 19:44
GTbets🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-01 19:48
William Hill🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.06%E -2.25%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.25%E -5.89%K -16.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-03-01 12:00
theScore Bet🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.28%E -4.32%K -8.07%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-01 19:54
Bet Victor🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -1.73%E -1.02%K -2.47%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-01 19:53
888sport🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-01 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-01 19:55
888sport (SE)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.47%E -2.08%K -5.17%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-01 19:54
Betsson🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -4.62%E -2.80%K -7.11%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-03-01 19:55
Fliff🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -6.93%E -4.31%K -11.37%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-03-01 19:54
NordicBet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -11.39%E -5.42%K -10.36%G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -7.51%E -4.69%K -12.52%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-03-01 19:54

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%	3.9%	2026-03-01 19:54