L’École des cotes

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Talia Gibson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 66.37%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.443%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.886%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.50%66.70%66.15%72.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.311.421.431.5076.34%70.24%69.93%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talia Gibson (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.63%2.97cote équitable
EV +14.34%
Avantage +4.22%
Kelly +5.97%
Croissance +0.856%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%33.30%33.85%37.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.753.4040.00%35.95%36.36%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.39%E -9.39%K -38.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.34%E +4.22%K +5.97%G +0.856%5.2%2026-03-06 19:19
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.97%E +3.33%K +4.77%G +0.524%5.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -13.05%E -9.96%K -42.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +10.97%E +3.33%K +4.77%G +0.524%6.6%2026-03-06 19:18
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV +1.56%E +0.516%K +0.771%G +0.012%3.0%2026-03-06 19:15
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004%4.8%2026-03-06 19:09
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004%6.9%2026-03-06 19:19
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.796%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 19:13
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:13
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 19:13
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 19:20
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:20
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.41%E -6.09%K -22.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.40%E -7.70%K -29.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 19:17
Bet Right1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 19:08
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.41%E -6.09%K -22.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 19:12
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 19:20
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.49%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 19:07
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:08
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 19:11
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 19:07
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:16
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 19:20
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:07
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 19:15
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Virgin Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 19:20
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 19:20
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -10.21%E -3.82%K -6.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 19:20
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 19:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 19:20
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -14.58%E -5.74%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 19:19
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Fliff1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 19:21
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 19:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-03-06 19:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-03-06 19:20
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-03-06 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-03-06 19:21
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%5.6%2026-03-06 19:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10%6.0%2026-03-06 19:20