Idioma:Español
Ekaterina Alexandrova v Talia Gibson
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)
Predicción 66.37%1.51momio equitativo
EV -0.443%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.886%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.50%66.70%66.15%72.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.311.421.431.5076.34%70.24%69.93%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Talia Gibson (Visitante)
Predicción 33.63%2.97momio equitativo
EV +14.34%
Ventaja +4.22%
Kelly +5.97%
Crecimiento +0.856%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%33.30%33.85%37.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.753.4040.00%35.95%36.36%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 66.37%; Talia Gibson (Visitante): 33.63%. Para Talia Gibson (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.97. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +14.34%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -12.39%E -9.39%K -38.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV +14.34%E +4.22%K +5.97%G +0.856% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -11.73%E -8.82%K -35.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +10.97%E +3.33%K +4.77%G +0.524% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -13.05%E -9.96%K -42.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +10.97%E +3.33%K +4.77%G +0.524% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 19:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13%EV +1.56%E +0.516%K +0.771%G +0.012% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -0.796%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -1.47%E -0.501%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 19:13 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.41%E -6.09%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -10.40%E -7.70%K -29.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 19:17 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 19:08 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -8.41%E -6.09%K -22.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 19:12 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.73%E -7.16%K -27.04%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.15%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -3.49%E -1.21%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:08 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.16%E -1.46%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 19:11 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:07 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 19:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-06 19:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.60%EV -7.08%E -5.06%K -17.70%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.40%EV -10.21%E -3.82%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -2.43%E -1.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -3.76%E -2.59%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -5.75%E -4.05%K -13.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.88%E -4.11%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.10%EV -6.42%E -4.55%K -15.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.90%EV -11.56%E -4.39%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -14.25%E -5.59%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -14.58%E -5.74%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 19:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -0.443%E -0.295%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -1.77%E -1.20%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -4.43%E -3.07%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -5.09%E -3.56%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -15.93%E -6.37%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 19:21 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.90% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.10% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 19:20 |