L’École des cotes

Donna Vekic v Tereza Valentova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Prévision 36.83%2.71cote équitable
EV +1.29%
Avantage +0.471%
Kelly +0.740%
Croissance +0.010%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%36.77%36.73%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.562.552.7541.67%38.99%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tereza Valentova (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.17%1.58cote équitable
EV -3.36%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -6.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.23%63.27%65.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.76%66.67%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.29%E +0.471%K +0.740%G +0.010%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.189%E +0.070%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 20:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.547%E -0.203%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.39%E -0.902%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:45
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 20:45
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:45
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:44
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:45
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:44
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 20:39
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:41
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:44
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:34
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.78%E -5.33%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 20:45
SportsBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.21%EV -4.60%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 20:45
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:41
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.18%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.18%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 20:41
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:44
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 20:42
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 20:42
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Novig2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%1.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%3.3%2026-03-05 20:45