La escuela de los momios

Donna Vekic v Tereza Valentova

Inicio: 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Donna Vekic (Local)

Predicción 36.83%2.71momio equitativo
EV +1.29%
Ventaja +0.471%
Kelly +0.740%
Crecimiento +0.010%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%36.77%36.73%38.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.562.552.7541.67%38.99%39.22%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Predicción 63.17%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -6.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.23%63.27%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.76%66.67%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +1.29%E +0.471%K +0.740%G +0.010%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Pinnacle2.72I 36.76%NM 35.70%EV +0.189%E +0.070%K +0.110%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.30%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-05 20:45
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.547%E -0.203%K -0.322%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.39%E -0.902%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:45
FanDuel2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -2.76%E -1.04%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-05 20:45
DraftKings2.63I 38.02%NM 36.01%EV -3.13%E -1.19%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.99%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:45
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:44
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-05 20:45
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-05 20:44
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -3.49%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.04%E -6.28%K -20.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-05 20:39
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:41
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:44
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:44
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:40
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:34
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-05 20:45
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 20:45
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -4.23%E -1.63%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -7.78%E -5.33%K -16.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 20:45
SportsBet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.21%EV -4.60%E -1.78%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.79%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (FR)2.58I 38.76%NM 36.61%EV -4.97%E -1.93%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.39%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-05 20:45
GTbets2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -5.34%E -2.08%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 20:40
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.99%E -2.62%K -7.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:41
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.07%E -2.38%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.88%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -7.18%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-05 20:44
NetBet (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV -7.18%E -2.85%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-05 20:41
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-05 20:45
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:44
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 20:44
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -7.91%E -3.17%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 20:45
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.36%E -2.19%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 20:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 20:42
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.76%E -3.98%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.50%K -10.50%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-05 20:42
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -11.60%E -4.83%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -6.51%E -4.40%K -13.57%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%0.2%2026-03-05 20:45
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.39%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.61%0.3%2026-03-05 20:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%0.7%2026-03-05 20:45
Novig2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%1.8%2026-03-05 20:45
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%3.3%2026-03-05 20:45