Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayana Yastremska v Alexandra Eala

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 05:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dayana Yastremska (Local)

Prediction 43.42%2.30fair odd
EV -0.142%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.109%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%43.32%43.15%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.182.3048.78%45.98%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Alexandra Eala (Visit)

Prediction 56.58%1.77fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%56.68%56.85%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.681.691.7362.50%59.48%59.17%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dayana Yastremska (Local): 43.42%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 56.58%. For Dayana Yastremska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.303. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.300, with an expected value of -0.142%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.142%E -0.062%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 05:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.142%E -0.062%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 05:05
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.142%E -0.062%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -8.33%E -5.15%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 05:05
Pinnacle🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.01%E -0.443%K -0.789%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -4.37%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-07 05:00
Coolbet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.44%E -0.636%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-07 05:05
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 05:03
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 04:59
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 05:04
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -2.31%E -1.03%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 05:04
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.62%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 04:59
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -3.62%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 05:04
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -3.62%E -1.63%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 05:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.68%E -1.56%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 05:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.37%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 05:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 05:00
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 05:04
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 04:58
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 05:05
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 05:00
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.33%E -5.15%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 04:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.48%E -2.04%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.47%E -5.92%K -15.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 04:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 04:59
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 04:59
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 04:57
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 04:59
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
betPARX🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 05:00
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.35%E -2.45%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 04:59
Betsson🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 04:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 04:59
NordicBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -5.79%E -2.67%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 04:59
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.22%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 04:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -6.22%E -2.88%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -4.37%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 04:54
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.37%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 04:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 04:51
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 05:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.94%E -2.94%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 04:59
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.64%E -4.02%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 05:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.65%E -3.09%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -7.77%E -4.77%K -12.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 04:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.09%E -3.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 05:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -7.09%E -3.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -6.07%E -3.66%K -9.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 05:00
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -7.96%E -3.75%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 04:59
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 05:00
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 04:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 04:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.11%E -1.22%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 04:59
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 05:00
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.37%E -2.59%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 04:59
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 04:49
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 05:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.83%E -4.20%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 04:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 04:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.00%E -5.36%K -10.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.81%E -2.24%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 04:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-03-07 05:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-03-07 05:05
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-03-07 05:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-03-07 05:00
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%3.0%2026-03-07 05:05