Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.65
assuming max odds 1.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Darja Semenistaja (Local): 19.65%; Whitney Osuigwe (Visit): 80.35%. For Darja Semenistaja (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.05%.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.28%EV +11.05%E +1.96%K +2.38%G +0.262% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.72%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-03-01 23:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.73%E -0.346%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 23:52 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -5.66%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -6.00%E -5.12%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.60%E -6.61%K -50.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.60%E -6.61%K -50.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.60%E -6.61%K -50.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.59%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.59%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.18%EV -10.57%E -2.32%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -7.60%E -6.61%K -50.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.52%E -3.07%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -13.52%E -3.07%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-01 23:54 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-03-01 23:55 |