Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff v Kamilla Rakhimova

Kickoff: 2026-03-06 23:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prediction 90.06%1.11fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.328%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.84%89.87%90.23%92.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.071.071.1198.04%93.73%93.46%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit)

Prediction 9.94%10.06fair odd
EV +29.25%
Edge +2.25%
Kelly +2.44%
Growth +0.713%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.34%10.13%9.77%15.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.108.458.0013.0016.39%11.83%12.50%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 90.06%; Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit): 9.94%. For Kamilla Rakhimova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.06. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 13.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +29.25%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -7.24%E -7.03%K -241.36%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV +29.25%E +2.25%K +2.44%G +0.713%4.8%2026-03-06 22:48
DraftKings🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.42%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%12.80I 7.81%NM 7.58%EV +27.26%E +2.13%K +2.31%G +0.630%3.1%2026-03-06 22:50
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -4.54%E -4.28%K -75.65%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +9.37%E +0.852%K +0.937%G +0.088%3.4%2026-03-06 22:49
theScore Bet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.37%E +0.852%K +0.937%G +0.088%5.2%2026-03-06 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +9.37%E +0.852%K +0.937%G +0.088%5.2%2026-03-06 22:50
888sport🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.24%E -7.03%K -241.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +9.37%E +0.852%K +0.937%G +0.088%6.2%2026-03-06 22:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.24%E -7.03%K -241.36%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +9.37%E +0.852%K +0.937%G +0.088%6.2%2026-03-06 22:49
Betsson🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -7.24%E -7.03%K -241.36%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV +4.40%E +0.419%K +0.463%G +0.020%6.6%2026-03-06 22:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.54%E -4.28%K -75.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -0.575%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 22:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.575%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:49
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.575%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:49
Caesars🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -0.575%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 22:49
Bovada🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.54%E -4.28%K -75.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -5.55%E -0.584%K -0.653%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:50
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -5.55%E -0.584%K -0.653%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:50
Fliff🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -8.14%E -7.98%K -407.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -5.55%E -0.584%K -0.653%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 22:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -10.52%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 22:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.34%E -6.10%K -158.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -10.52%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 22:50
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.24%E -7.03%K -241.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -10.52%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 22:45
1xBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.35%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%8.98I 11.14%NM 10.65%EV -10.72%E -1.19%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 22:39
GTbets🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.84%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%8.52I 11.74%NM 11.16%EV -15.29%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -15.49%E -1.82%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 22:48
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.30%EV -0.937%E -0.852%K -9.37%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.70%EV -17.48%E -2.11%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 22:47
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:30
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 22:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:35
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.54%E -4.28%K -75.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -20.46%E -2.56%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:50
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:49
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 22:49
FanDuel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:50
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 22:50
Everygame🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -4.54%E -4.28%K -75.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -25.43%E -3.39%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 22:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -0.937%E -0.852%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -27.22%E -3.72%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 22:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.94%EV -0.937%E -0.852%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.32I 13.66%NM 13.06%EV -27.22%E -3.72%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 22:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -5.44%E -5.18%K -108.79%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -27.92%E -3.85%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 22:46
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -0.937%E -0.852%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 22:49
PlayUp🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 22:25
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 22:49
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 22:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 22:50
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -2.74%E -2.54%K -34.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -30.40%E -4.34%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 22:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -0.036%E -0.033%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -32.89%E -4.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -0.036%E -0.033%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -32.89%E -4.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 22:50
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -3.64%E -3.40%K -51.98%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -32.89%E -4.87%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -1.84%E -1.69%K -20.41%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV -39.35%E -6.45%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-03-06 22:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%1.3%2026-03-06 22:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.7%2026-03-06 22:50
Matchbook1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-03-06 22:50
Novig1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%6.0%2026-03-06 22:50