Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.21
assuming max odds 5.30
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 80.34%; Alexandra Eala (Visit): 19.66%. For Alexandra Eala (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.09. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.79%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.21%EV +4.17%E +0.787%K +0.970%G +0.040% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.97%EV -2.78%E -2.30%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 19.03%EV +1.22%E +0.238%K +0.295%G +0.004% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 00:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +0.242%E +0.047%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 19:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.65%EV -3.59%E -2.99%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.35%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 06:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -1.72%E -0.345%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 19:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.84%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.16%EV -2.12%E -0.425%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 23:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-08 23:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -6.80%E -5.86%K -42.50%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.41%E -7.37%K -60.05%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -3.69%E -0.753%K -0.946%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.00%EV -3.59%E -2.99%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.00%EV -5.66%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -5.66%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 21:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -5.66%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 14:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -6.64%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -2.78%E -2.30%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-08 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 11:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.62%EV -4.39%E -3.69%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.38%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.10%EV -8.60%E -1.85%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.59%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -9.59%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -2.78%E -2.30%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -10.77%E -2.37%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -2.78%E -2.30%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.85%EV -2.78%E -2.30%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -11.36%E -2.52%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -3.59%E -2.99%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 00:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 17:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.00%E -5.13%K -35.27%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 17:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -3.59%E -2.99%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -13.52%E -3.07%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 00:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -13.52%E -3.07%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -5.19%E -4.40%K -28.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -14.89%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 21:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.59%E -2.99%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -17.45%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 00:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 82.23% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.97% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.03% | 0.8% | 2026-03-09 00:39 |
| Novig◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.26% | 5.29I 18.90%NM 18.74% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-03-09 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.5% | 2026-03-09 00:49 |