La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.09
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29
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| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +0.079%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| William Hill | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.37%E -0.593%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.37%E -0.593%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| SportsBet | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -2.61%E -0.656%K -0.877%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -7.85%E -6.44%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.13%EV -3.84%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.87%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Bovada | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| FanDuel | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.10%E -5.77%K -30.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| DraftKings | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| GTbets | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 22:43 |
| Fanatics | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Bet Right | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -6.04%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Casumo | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Bally Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Caesars | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 22:42 |
| Everygame | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.85%E -6.44%K -35.69%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Paddy Power | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| 1xBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Fliff | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| TAB | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Neds | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.58%E -4.52%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.58%E -4.52%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 22:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Novig | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.82% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.18% | 1.2% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-03-09 22:44 |