L’École des cotes

Ashlyn Krueger v Elina Svitolina

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-09 22:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

Prévision 24.47%4.09cote équitable
EV +0.079%
Avantage +0.019%
Kelly +0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%24.63%24.46%27.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.813.804.0928.99%26.24%26.32%24.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.53%1.32cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -8.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.94%75.37%75.54%76.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.271.271.2981.97%79.00%78.74%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.09I 24.45%NM 23.84%EV +0.079%E +0.019%K +0.026%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 76.16%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-09 22:45
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-09 22:44
Winamax (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-09 22:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:45
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:44
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:45
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.12%E -0.531%K -0.708%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:44
BetOnline.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.37%E -0.593%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 22:45
LowVig.ag3.99I 25.06%NM 24.14%EV -2.37%E -0.593%K -0.792%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.86%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-09 22:44
SportsBet3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV -2.61%E -0.656%K -0.877%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -7.85%E -6.44%K -35.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:44
Betclic (FR)3.93I 25.45%NM 24.13%EV -3.84%E -0.976%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.87%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Bovada3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:44
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 22:45
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 22:44
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 22:44
Winamax (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 22:45
NetBet (FR)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.57%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -7.10%E -5.77%K -30.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 22:44
DraftKings3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 22:44
GTbets3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.49%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 22:44
Unibet (FR)3.88I 25.77%NM 24.37%EV -5.06%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.63%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:43
Fanatics3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:44
Bet Right3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:44
Codere (IT)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 22:44
Betr (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -5.79%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 22:44
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -6.04%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:45
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Casumo3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:45
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Caesars3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 22:42
Everygame3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 22:44
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.02%E -1.85%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.85%E -6.44%K -35.69%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-09 22:44
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:44
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:44
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 22:44
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-09 22:44
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.24%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:44
1xBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 22:44
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -9.46%E -2.56%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.08%E -3.21%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 22:45
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-09 22:45
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 22:44
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -10.69%E -2.93%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.59%E -4.47%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-09 22:44
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.57%E -1.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-09 22:45
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 22:45
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -11.91%E -3.31%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -4.83%E -3.83%K -18.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:45
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -14.36%E -4.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-09 22:44
Neds3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.58%E -4.52%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:45
Ladbrokes (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -15.58%E -4.52%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -3.32%E -2.59%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-09 22:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-09 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-03-09 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-09 22:45
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-09 22:44
Novig4.33I 23.09%NM 22.82%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.18%1.2%2026-03-09 22:44
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-03-09 22:44