Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova

Início: 2026-03-13 23:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

87%

13%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 86.86%1.15odd justa

EV -0.981%

Vantagem -0.860%

Kelly -7.00%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

83.08%86.84%86.85%90.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.49%92.59%87.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Linda Noskova (Visitante)

Previsão 13.14%7.61odd justa

EV +31.41%

Vantagem +3.14%

Kelly +3.49%

Crescimento +1.10%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

9.50%13.16%13.15%16.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

5.507.737.5010.0018.18%12.93%13.33%10.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 86.86%; Linda Noskova (Visitante): 13.14%. Para Linda Noskova (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.61. 28 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 10.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +31.41%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
Betway🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +31.41%E +3.14%K +3.49%G +1.10%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:10
DraftKings🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 89.98%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	9.70I 10.31%NM 10.02%EV +27.47%E +2.83%K +3.16%G +0.867%	2.9%	2026-03-13 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:10
Unibet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:10
Casumo🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:09
betPARX🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726%	4.0%	2026-03-13 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	4.6%	2026-03-13 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:10
Grosvenor🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:09
TABtouch🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:09
Bally Bet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:10
Bovada🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +14.98%E +1.71%K +1.93%G +0.290%	4.9%	2026-03-13 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -9.67%E -9.29%K -241.66%G +0.000%	8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +11.70%E +1.38%K +1.56%G +0.182%	7.9%	2026-03-13 23:10
GTbets🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 88.25%EV -3.59%E -3.23%K -32.60%G +0.000%	8.34I 11.99%NM 11.75%EV +9.59%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.125%	2.1%	2026-03-13 23:04
LowVig.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +8.41%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.098%	3.9%	2026-03-13 23:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000%	8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +8.41%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.098%	3.9%	2026-03-13 23:09
1xBet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +5.26%E +0.656%K +0.750%G +0.039%	5.1%	2026-03-13 22:55
Coolbet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038%	5.1%	2026-03-13 23:08
FanDuel🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038%	5.1%	2026-03-13 23:09
Coral🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038%	5.1%	2026-03-13 23:10
Paddy Power🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:09
LeoVegas🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000%	8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038%	7.7%	2026-03-13 23:10
theScore Bet🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +1.84%E +0.238%K +0.273%G +0.005%	5.5%	2026-03-13 23:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.129%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-03-13 23:02
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-03-13 23:00
BetUS🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-03-13 23:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:10
BetMGM🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:10
Fliff🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000%	7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-13 23:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.13I 88.50%NM 86.58%EV -1.85%E -1.64%K -14.22%G +0.000%	7.29I 13.72%NM 13.42%EV -4.20%E -0.577%K -0.668%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-03-13 22:45
Betsson🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-03-13 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 22:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-03-13 23:10
Codere (IT)🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000%	7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.39%E -0.748%K -0.869%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-03-13 23:02
Bet Right🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:00
Marathon Bet🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-03-13 23:10
NordicBet🎯	1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 23:10
888sport🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 23:10
888sport (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-03-13 23:09
SportsBet🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000%	7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-03-13 23:08
Fanatics🎯	1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000%	6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.96%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-03-13 23:09
Betr (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 22:59
PlayUp🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 23:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 23:09
Everygame🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-03-13 18:39
Bet Victor🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-13 23:06
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-03-13 23:09
BetRivers🎯	1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -0.981%E -0.860%K -7.00%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-03-13 10:54
William Hill🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.72%E -2.43%K -22.65%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-03-13 06:34
TAB🎯	1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.59%E -3.23%K -32.60%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-13 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 22:30
Neds🎯	1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-03-13 22:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-13 23:06
Caesars🎯	1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.72%E -2.43%K -22.65%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -27.73%E -5.04%K -6.16%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-03-13 23:09

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%	0.4%	2026-03-13 23:10
Matchbook◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40%	1.3%	2026-03-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%	1.7%	2026-03-13 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%	1.7%	2026-03-13 23:10
Smarkets◎	1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%	2.9%	2026-03-13 23:10
Novig◎	1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88%	8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12%	6.1%	2026-03-13 23:10