La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Linda Noskova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 86.86%1.15momio equitativo
EV -0.981%
Ventaja -0.860%
Kelly -7.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.08%86.84%86.85%90.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.081.1496.15%92.49%92.59%87.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Linda Noskova (Visitante)
Predicción 13.14%7.61momio equitativo
EV +31.41%
Ventaja +3.14%
Kelly +3.49%
Crecimiento +1.10%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.50%13.16%13.15%16.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.507.737.5010.0018.18%12.93%13.33%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +31.41%E +3.14%K +3.49%G +1.10% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.98%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 10.02%EV +27.47%E +2.83%K +3.16%G +0.867% | 2.9% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| betPARX | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +24.84%E +2.61%K +2.92%G +0.726% | 4.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 4.6% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Bally Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +18.27%E +2.03%K +2.28%G +0.417% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +14.98%E +1.71%K +1.93%G +0.290% | 4.9% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -9.67%E -9.29%K -241.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +11.70%E +1.38%K +1.56%G +0.182% | 7.9% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.25%EV -3.59%E -3.23%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 8.34I 11.99%NM 11.75%EV +9.59%E +1.15%K +1.31%G +0.125% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +8.41%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.098% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.33%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.67%EV +8.41%E +1.02%K +1.16%G +0.098% | 3.9% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +5.26%E +0.656%K +0.750%G +0.039% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:08 |
| FanDuel | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| LeoVegas | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV +5.13%E +0.641%K +0.732%G +0.038% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +1.84%E +0.238%K +0.273%G +0.005% | 5.5% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.36%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.64%EV -0.129%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-13 23:02 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| BetUS | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-13 23:04 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -8.80%E -8.38%K -175.96%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -1.44%E -0.192%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.58%EV -1.85%E -1.64%K -14.22%G +0.000% | 7.29I 13.72%NM 13.42%EV -4.20%E -0.577%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| Betsson | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.14%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.86%EV -4.73%E -0.652%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -5.39%E -0.748%K -0.869%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-13 23:02 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.32%E -4.88%K -59.15%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -7.93%E -7.48%K -132.16%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-13 23:08 |
| Fanatics | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -7.06%E -6.60%K -100.87%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -11.96%E -1.78%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 22:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| Everygame | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-13 18:39 |
| Bet Victor | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 23:06 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -0.981%E -0.860%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-13 10:54 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -2.72%E -2.43%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-13 06:34 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.59%E -3.23%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-13 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 22:30 |
| Neds | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -4.45%E -4.05%K -44.55%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-13 22:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.19%E -5.73%K -77.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -21.15%E -3.53%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-13 23:06 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -2.72%E -2.43%K -22.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -27.73%E -5.04%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-13 23:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 0.4% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.60% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.3% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.7% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80% | 2.9% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.88% | 8.47I 11.81%NM 11.12% | 6.1% | 2026-03-13 23:10 |