Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Zakharova v Linda Fruhvirtova

Kickoff: 2026-03-03 18:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

50%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anastasia Zakharova (Local)

Prediction 49.65%2.01fair odd

EV -1.69%

Edge -0.855%

Kelly -1.73%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

48.00%49.98%49.32%53.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.731.851.831.9857.80%54.04%54.64%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit)

Prediction 50.35%1.99fair odd

EV +3.72%

Edge +1.81%

Kelly +3.51%

Growth +0.131%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

46.35%50.02%50.68%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.801.911.912.0655.56%52.33%52.36%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Zakharova (Local): 49.65%; Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit): 50.35%. For Linda Fruhvirtova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.72%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
GTbets🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -11.62%E -6.53%K -14.90%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV +3.72%E +1.81%K +3.51%G +0.131%	4.7%	2026-03-03 18:04
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -9.14%E -4.99%K -11.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV +0.700%E +0.350%K +0.700%G +0.005%	4.6%	2026-03-03 18:03
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.700%E +0.350%K +0.700%G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-03-03 18:10
Everygame🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.700%E +0.350%K +0.700%G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-03-03 15:50
William Hill🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.700%E +0.350%K +0.700%G +0.005%	5.6%	2026-03-03 17:56
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -14.11%E -8.15%K -19.32%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV +0.700%E +0.350%K +0.700%G +0.005%	7.8%	2026-03-03 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.82%E -0.932%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 18:00
Coral🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -1.82%E -0.932%K -1.91%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 18:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -4.18%E -2.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 50.00%EV -2.82%E -1.46%K -3.04%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-03-03 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-03 18:11
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -10.63%E -5.91%K -13.29%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -3.83%E -2.01%K -4.21%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-03-03 18:11
PlayUp🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.67%E -2.98%K -6.29%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.85%E -3.13%K -6.72%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-03-03 18:09
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.69%E -0.855%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-03 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -1.69%E -0.855%K -1.73%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -6.85%E -3.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-03-03 18:06
Fliff🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.99%K -11.01%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -7.86%E -4.29%K -9.47%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-03-03 18:11
Bet Victor🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.18%E -1.63%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.37%E -5.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 18:09
theScore Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.18%E -1.63%K -3.35%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.37%E -5.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-03-03 18:11
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.37%E -5.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-03 18:07
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.15%E -4.40%K -9.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -9.37%E -5.21%K -11.71%G +0.000%	9.6%	2026-03-03 18:07

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets◎	1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%	2.1%	2026-03-03 18:11