Language:English
Anastasia Potapova v Jasmine Paolini
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anastasia Potapova (Local)
Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd
EV +0.303%
Edge +0.098%
Kelly +0.144%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.11%32.35%32.49%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.922.953.1036.36%34.22%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Prediction 67.64%1.48fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%67.65%67.51%68.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4573.53%71.45%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anastasia Potapova (Local): 32.36%; Jasmine Paolini (Visit): 67.64%. For Anastasia Potapova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.303%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV +0.303%E +0.098%K +0.144%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.70%EV -0.991%E -0.324%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.30%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -1.31%E -0.431%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.62%E -3.28%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -1.31%E -0.431%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -2.29%E -0.757%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -7.33%E -5.35%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 22:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 16:21 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 14:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-05 17:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.93%E -0.978%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -3.90%E -1.31%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -4.23%E -1.43%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 22:37 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.27%E -2.29%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 17:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -4.55%E -1.54%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.97%E -4.30%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.26%EV -4.87%E -1.66%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.74%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 22:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:31 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -5.20%E -1.77%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -4.62%E -3.28%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.09%EV -5.52%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.91%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 22:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -6.17%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -4.62%E -3.28%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.17%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.17%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.17%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.17%E -2.13%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.82%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 22:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.82%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.14%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 14:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -7.14%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.79%E -2.73%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -8.00%E -5.89%K -22.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.92%E -1.32%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -3.95%E -2.78%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 14:48 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 14:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.30%E -3.78%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.40%E -3.36%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -11.02%E -4.01%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -6.65%E -4.82%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-06 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.67% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 68.33% | 0.2% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 2.7% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.13% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.87% | 3.0% | 2026-03-06 22:40 |