L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Zeynep Sonmez v Iryna Shymanovich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-14 23:14 UTC

Score final : Zeynep Sonmez 2–0 Iryna Shymanovich

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 69.65%1.44cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -6.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.82%69.64%69.58%71.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.70%73.53%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.35%3.29cote équitable
EV -0.453%
Avantage -0.138%
Kelly -0.199%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.70%30.36%30.42%32.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.093.103.2834.72%32.40%32.26%30.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zeynep Sonmez (Local) : 69.65% ; Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur) : 30.35%. Pour Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.29. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.28, pour une espérance de -0.453% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.19%E -2.29%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -9.86%E -3.32%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 22:36
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.453%E -0.138%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 22:36
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:36
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:05
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:10
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.31%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.13%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 23:06
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.40%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:05
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.43%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.59%E -4.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.59%E -4.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:45
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.40%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:11
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.36%E -0.420%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:36
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:36
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 21:25
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.30%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.70%EV -1.97%E -0.610%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 23:06
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 22:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 22:50
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 23:05
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-14 23:06