Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez v Iryna Shymanovich

2026-09-14 23:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 72.93%1.37cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -2.26%
Kelly -9.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.11%72.86%72.92%74.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.01%76.92%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.07%3.69cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.325%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%27.14%27.08%28.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.473.503.6531.25%28.78%28.57%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Zeynep Sonmez (Local) : 72.93% ; Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur) : 27.07%. Pour Iryna Shymanovich (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.69. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 3.65, pour une espérance de -1.19% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.01%E -2.26%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.19%E -0.325%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 07:11
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 07:31
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 07:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -9.58%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 08:05
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.35%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 07:14
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 08:10
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:10
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.43%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 02:01
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 05:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:11
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 05:40
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 05:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 07:30
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:00
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -9.58%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:11
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 06:51
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 74.07%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%8.0%2026-09-14 07:16
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%10.0%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36