Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez v Iryna Shymanovich

2026-09-14 23:00 UTC — WTA Guadalajara Open

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Predicción 72.93%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.26%
Kelly -9.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.11%72.86%72.92%74.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.301.301.3380.00%77.01%76.92%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante)

Predicción 27.07%3.69momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.325%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%27.14%27.08%28.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.473.503.6531.25%28.78%28.57%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 72.93%; Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante): 27.07%. Para Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.69. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 3.65, con un valor esperado de -1.19%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -3.01%E -2.26%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -10.12%E -3.05%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -1.19%E -0.325%K -0.447%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-14 07:11
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 07:31
BetAnything🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 07:31
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -3.74%E -2.83%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -9.58%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 08:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.46%E -3.41%K -14.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 08:05
DraftKings🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.35%E -0.939%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 07:14
Bet Right🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 08:10
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:05
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -3.89%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-14 07:10
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.08%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV -4.43%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 02:01
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 05:40
Fanatics🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:15
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 05:40
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:10
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-14 07:10
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:11
Betsson🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 07:10
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 05:40
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.66%E -3.23%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 05:40
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 07:30
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.19%E -4.00%K -17.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -13.37%E -4.18%K -6.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-14 07:34
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 07:10
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.25%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-14 02:00
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.14%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.86%EV -9.58%E -2.87%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 07:10
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.92%E -4.59%K -20.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -12.01%E -3.70%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 07:11
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.60%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-14 07:15
LeoVegas🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -6.65%E -5.20%K -23.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -9.31%E -2.78%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -8.11%E -6.44%K -31.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.95%E -2.34%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -8.84%E -7.07%K -35.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -2.54%E -0.705%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 06:51
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 74.07%3.57I 28.01%NM 25.93%8.0%2026-09-14 07:16
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 71.59%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%10.0%2026-09-14 07:11
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 68.21%2.66I 37.59%NM 31.79%18.2%2026-09-14 06:36