La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Zeynep Sonmez v Iryna Shymanovich

Inicio: 2026-09-14 23:14 UTC

Final: Zeynep Sonmez 2–0 Iryna Shymanovich

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Predicción 69.65%1.44momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -1.78%
Kelly -6.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.82%69.64%69.58%71.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.301.361.361.4076.92%73.70%73.53%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante)

Predicción 30.35%3.29momio equitativo
EV -0.453%
Ventaja -0.138%
Kelly -0.199%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.28

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.70%30.36%30.42%32.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.103.2834.72%32.40%32.26%30.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 69.65%; Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante): 30.35%. Para Iryna Shymanovich (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.29. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.28, con un valor esperado de -0.453%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -2.49%E -1.78%K -6.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:36
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.12%EV -3.19%E -2.29%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -9.86%E -3.32%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 22:36
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.39%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.61%EV -0.453%E -0.138%K -0.199%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-14 22:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 23:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-14 22:36
LowVig.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:36
BetOnline.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV -3.79%E -1.20%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-14 22:36
BetAnything🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -5.01%E -1.60%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-14 22:36
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:05
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.88%E -2.81%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -10.47%E -3.55%K -5.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-14 21:10
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.49%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%EV -5.31%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:36
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.58%E -3.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.93%EV -7.13%E -2.33%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 23:06
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 23:04
Bet Right🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -4.40%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 21:25
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:05
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 23:00
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:05
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:35
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.43%E -2.44%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 22:35
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:36
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 21:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-14 22:35
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.59%E -4.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:45
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.28%E -3.88%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.59%E -4.37%K -6.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-14 22:45
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 22:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -4.40%E -1.40%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 21:11
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.97%E -4.42%K -17.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 21:05
FanDuel🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.67%E -4.98%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.88%E -0.900%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 22:35
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.36%E -0.420%K -0.606%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 21:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.38%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -4.10%E -1.30%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 22:34
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:36
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 22:36
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.37%E -5.54%K -22.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-14 21:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.92%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-14 22:36
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 22:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -8.06%E -6.11%K -25.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-14 21:25
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.30%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.70%EV -1.97%E -0.610%K -0.884%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-14 21:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.45%E -7.27%K -31.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -8.95%E -2.98%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 23:06
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-09-14 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 22:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 22:50
Novig◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-09-14 23:05
ProphetX◎1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-09-14 23:05
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-09-14 23:06