Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 1.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Sorribes Tormo (Local): 45.73%; Caroline Dolehide (Visit): 54.27%. For Caroline Dolehide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.80, with an expected value of -2.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-13 14:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-13 16:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-13 13:36 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-13 16:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 13:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 16:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -10.45%E -6.33%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-13 16:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.99%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -6.65%E -3.87%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-13 16:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.55%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.45%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-13 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -6.65%E -3.87%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-13 14:51 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63% | 0.5% | 2026-09-13 16:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:01 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31% | 5.2% | 2026-09-13 16:05 |