Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua v Caroline Dolehide

Kickoff: 2026-09-14 16:00 UTC

Final: Renata Zarazua 1–2 Caroline Dolehide

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Renata Zarazua (Local)

Prediction 46.24%2.16fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.37%46.19%47.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.042.1051.28%48.94%49.02%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Caroline Dolehide (Visit)

Prediction 53.76%1.86fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.881%
Kelly -1.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.09%53.63%53.81%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.771.8359.88%56.84%56.66%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Renata Zarazua (Local): 46.24%; Caroline Dolehide (Visit): 53.76%. For Caroline Dolehide (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -1.61%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.02%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.98%EV -3.76%E -2.10%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-14 10:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-14 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 14:05
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 14:04
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-14 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-14 14:05
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 14:00
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-14 14:05
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.21%E -6.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 14:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.90%E -1.38%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.21%E -6.12%K -15.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-14 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.37%E -1.61%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 15:10
DraftKings🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-14 08:55
Bet Right🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -5.37%E -3.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-14 14:05
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-14 15:34
NordicBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:04
Betsson🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -4.75%E -2.31%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-14 14:05
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-14 14:00
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-14 09:45
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 14:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 10:01
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-14 08:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.22%E -2.54%K -4.97%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.45%E -3.71%K -8.72%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 15:25
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:46
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:46
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.30%E -2.42%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-14 09:45
ReBet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -5.68%E -2.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-14 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 15:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.15%E -1.18%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 15:25
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.60%E -3.27%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-14 15:25
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 07:01
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 05:25
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.22%E -1.79%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-14 07:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.84%E -2.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-14 08:54
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 14:00
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 14:00
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 15:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.99%E -4.04%K -9.57%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-14 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.53%E -3.76%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.60%E -5.06%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-14 15:29
GTbets🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -7.99%E -4.02%K -8.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -1.61%E -0.881%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-14 00:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.03%EV -8.92%E -4.53%K -9.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 53.97%EV -9.68%E -5.76%K -14.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-14 14:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -9.38%E -4.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.53%E -4.38%K -10.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-14 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.84%E -5.05%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.91%E -3.38%K -7.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-14 14:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-14 15:35
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-14 15:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-14 15:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-09-14 15:35
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%0.7%2026-09-14 15:35
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.5%2026-09-14 15:30