Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Sloane Stephens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 60.95%1.64fair odd
EV +13.98%
Edge +7.48%
Kelly +16.07%
Growth +2.25%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%60.39%60.88%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.551.541.8767.11%64.42%64.94%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sloane Stephens (Visit)
Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.136%
Kelly +0.222%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.61%39.12%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.422.452.5753.48%41.36%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 60.95%; Sloane Stephens (Visit): 39.05%. For Peyton Stearns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.87, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.98%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV +13.98%E +7.48%K +16.07%G +2.25% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -26.98%E -14.43%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-18 02:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.58%EV -1.26%E -0.775%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 39.42%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-09-16 13:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.26%E -0.775%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 02:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54%EV -1.86%E -1.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.46%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -1.86%E -1.16%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-18 02:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.47%E -1.55%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -10.19%E -4.43%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 02:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.08%E -1.94%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 02:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.30%E -2.74%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.349%E +0.136%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 18:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV +0.349%E +0.136%K +0.222%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-09-17 18:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.48%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.52%EV -2.77%E -1.11%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-18 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -5.12%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 19:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.91%E -3.15%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -12.15%E -5.40%K -9.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 02:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-16 09:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.11%EV -5.52%E -3.56%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -16.05%E -7.47%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-18 02:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.432%E -0.169%K -0.279%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-17 21:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -1.60%E -0.636%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:01 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 11:58 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-17 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.50%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.50%EV -3.95%E -1.60%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-18 02:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -6.13%E -3.98%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -1.21%E -0.479%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.34%E -1.77%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 23:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.74%E -4.41%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-17 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.35%E -4.84%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-17 21:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.35%E -4.84%K -14.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 05:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.88%EV -7.96%E -5.27%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-17 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.38%E -0.954%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-17 14:56 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -3.56%E -1.44%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-17 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.29%E -2.62%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-17 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.57%E -5.71%K -17.14%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.24%E -3.51%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.50%EV -9.18%E -6.16%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.50%EV -7.07%E -2.97%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 0.6% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-09-18 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71% | 2.4% | 2026-09-18 02:35 |