Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy v Lois Boisson

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 21:00 UTC

Final: Panna Udvardy 2–1 Lois Boisson

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Panna Udvardy (Local)

Prediction 56.01%1.79fair odd
EV +37.23%
Edge +15.20%
Kelly +25.68%
Growth +9.56%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%53.80%55.85%61.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.761.662.4569.44%56.89%60.24%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lois Boisson (Visit)

Prediction 43.99%2.27fair odd
EV +6.89%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +4.82%
Growth +0.332%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.30%46.20%44.15%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.552.072.102.4364.52%48.23%47.62%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Panna Udvardy (Local): 56.01%; Lois Boisson (Visit): 43.99%. For Panna Udvardy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.79. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +37.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +37.23%E +15.20%K +25.68%G +9.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -29.18%E -18.13%K -47.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +37.23%E +15.20%K +25.68%G +9.56%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -29.18%E -18.13%K -47.84%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-13 20:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV +34.99%E +14.52%K +24.82%G +8.68%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -31.38%E -20.12%K -56.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 20:34
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV +34.43%E +14.35%K +24.59%G +8.47%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -30.50%E -19.30%K -52.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-13 20:34
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +34.43%E +14.35%K +24.59%G +8.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -31.82%E -20.53%K -57.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-13 20:40
Pinnacle🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +33.31%E +14.00%K +24.14%G +8.04%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -28.74%E -17.74%K -46.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 20:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +28.83%E +12.54%K +22.18%G +6.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -30.50%E -19.30%K -52.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 16:01
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +28.83%E +12.54%K +22.18%G +6.39%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -30.50%E -19.30%K -52.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 15:56
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV +4.75%E +2.54%K +5.45%G +0.259%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -14.23%E -7.30%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 20:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV +3.63%E +1.96%K +4.27%G +0.155%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -16.43%E -8.65%K -18.25%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +2.51%E +1.37%K +3.02%G +0.076%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -12.03%E -6.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +0.825%E +0.458%K +1.03%G +0.008%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -11.15%E -5.52%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 20:53
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -1.98%E -1.13%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -9.83%E -4.79%K -9.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-13 20:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.10%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-13 20:55
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.10%E -1.79%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.83%E -4.79%K -9.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:54
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.66%E -2.13%K -5.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-13 20:55
ReBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 20:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.83%E -4.79%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -4.78%E -2.81%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.83%E -4.79%K -9.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.17%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.83%EV -8.51%E -4.09%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -5.34%E -3.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -12.03%E -6.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 20:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -5.90%E -3.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 20:55
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -4.55%E -2.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 20:55
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.46%E -3.87%K -9.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -7.02%E -4.23%K -10.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -12.03%E -6.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Casumo🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
betPARX🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.58%E -4.59%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.63%E -3.63%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.49%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.51%EV -11.15%E -5.52%K -10.93%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.26%E -5.71%K -14.93%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.75%EV -12.03%E -6.01%K -12.03%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 20:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-13 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -9.82%E -6.10%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -5.43%E -2.53%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 20:55
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV +1.17%E +0.508%K +0.899%G +0.011%6.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 20:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -3.23%E -1.47%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 20:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.22%EV -10.38%E -6.49%K -17.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -5.87%E -2.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 20:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -12.06%E -7.68%K -21.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -1.03%E -0.458%K -0.825%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 20:55
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -15.42%E -10.21%K -30.23%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV +6.89%E +2.83%K +4.82%G +0.332%7.4%2026-09-13 20:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.98%E -10.65%K -31.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.57%E +2.32%K +3.98%G +0.221%8.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.98%E -10.65%K -31.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.57%E +2.32%K +3.98%G +0.221%8.3%2026-09-13 20:55
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -15.98%E -10.65%K -31.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV +5.57%E +2.32%K +3.98%G +0.221%8.3%2026-09-13 20:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.70%EV -19.34%E -13.43%K -43.96%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.30%EV +2.05%E +0.883%K +1.55%G +0.032%12.5%2026-09-13 20:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.85%3.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%3.2%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Smarkets◎1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%4.7%2026-09-13 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%5.0%2026-09-13 20:55
Novig◎1.50I 66.67%NM 57.63%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.37%15.7%2026-09-13 20:56